第38届国际玩具和潮玩(深圳)博览会
2026年4月9-11日 深圳国际会展中央(宝安区)
时间进入2024,本年经济年夜情况会如何?甚么产物将更好卖……诸云云类问题,信赖不少业界人士都火急想相识。归纳结合国、我国央行、华尔街等专家的研究及财产运行环境,谜底年夜致是:市场已经呈现踊跃向好因素,但仍存于较多不确定变数。海关总署统计阐发司司长吕年夜良于解答近似问题时归纳综合说:“世界经济复苏及可连续成长仍旧面对巨年夜挑战,我外洋贸面对的外部情况依然繁杂严重。但也要看到,我国经济恢复向好的踊跃因素仍于不停储蓄积累。”
详细到玩具财产,既有益好的一壁,也有不太好的动静。
当前财产运行的一些特性我国作为世界最年夜的玩具出产及出口国,中国玩具财产运行的环境,必然水平上就是世界玩具市场的缩影。
2023年中国玩具出口405.70亿美元,同比降落12.2%,持续8个月负增加,以是,即使泰西圣诞节玩具市场还有算热闹,中国“双十一”潮玩产物有不错的发卖纪录,但市场消费整体较为孱羸,细心梳理市场信息及数据,如下特性较为较着:
▐ 特性一:市场产物供年夜在求。
疫情呈现后,防疫断绝办法实行一度令玩具热销,吸引年夜量本钱进入玩具行业,从而令玩具相干企业数目激增。反应到市场上,就是玩具产物满目琳琅,不管初生婴孩还有是白叟父老,市场上总有很多玩具可选。
信息显示,2023年中国仅潮玩企业于电商平台上便新增7万多卖家。
泰西圣诞节市场,各电商平台及年夜型购物阛阓一进入第四序度,即争相推出“圣诞节最热玩具”购物清单供小伴侣及家长参考,每一个清单列出的产物往往数十上百。
积木作为传统玩具,如今产物造型不仅有修建物、车船、飞机、火箭,甚至有花草、生果,款式使人目炫狼籍。

亚马逊发布的2023年热点玩具清单保举产物-乐高都会系列家庭年夜屋和电动车套装
市场上,电子遥控、动漫IP授权等等玩具数不堪数,产物供年夜在求市况较着。
▐ 特性二:低价计谋几成共鸣。
针对于全世界经济下行,很可能影响消费者采办玩具的愿意,2023年不管电商还有是实体店,均鼎力大举推出低价产物以吸引消费者。
知名电商平台亚马逊列出的“孩子们最热点玩具”清单,有数款产物的售价甚至不到10美元,像Benzem 28只装儿童回力车售价仅是9.99美元,规格较年夜的产物如EsiPlay插槽汽车赛道套装,产物带 4个插槽汽车、2个节制器、双赛车游戏圆形过越轨道,售价也只是39.99美元。
实体店的谋划计谋年夜致也是云云,年夜型超等市场沃尔玛“2023年圣诞节顶级玩具清单”里,近对折产物售价低在25美元。




沃尔玛宣布的2023年圣诞热点玩具清单中部门25美元如下产物
不少企业更是踊跃研发各类售价自制的迷你产物, “玄色礼拜五”(圣诞节阛阓抢购日)Mini Brand牌玩具成为当天最受接待的前五产物,则表现出这是一个乐成的计谋。
财产面对的挑战及机缘玩具不是糊口必须品,市场消费需求畅旺与否与经济成长互相关注。
对于2024年全世界经济成长远景的猜测,各权势巨子构造均较为审慎,世界经合构造(OECD)认为:本年全世界经济增速将放缓至2.7%,是自2020年以来全世界经济增速最低的一年。
国际钱币基金构造(IMF)估计2024年全世界经济增速为2.9%,比拟其去年7月的猜测下调了0.1个百分点。
于如许的经济情况下,玩具财产很可能仍要面临经济不振消费意愿下行的市况,如下环境特别值患上企业器重。
▐ 环境一:原料价格及人平易近币汇率颠簸可能较年夜。
我国玩具以出口为主,企业的出产成本不仅与塑胶等原质料价格有关,与人平易近币汇率也有很年夜瓜葛。
高盛等投资银行研究认为:2024年,跟着美联储加息竣事,美元利率及汇率将连续走低,这有益年夜宗商品投资需求的回归,估计以石油为主的标普GSCI年夜宗商品指数年回报率将到达21%,此中能源板块将上涨31%,工业金属板块将上涨17%。人平易近币兑美元汇率方面,整年年夜几率于1美元兑6.9~7.3人平易近币之间颠簸,多是“年头年底高中间低”的走势。虽然近似推测未必正确,但仍有必然参考价值。
▐ 环境二:同业内卷加重无可防止。
玩具不仅是长青财产且对于解决劳动就业等有帮忙,于是印度、越南、墨西哥甚至伊朗等都城明确要搀扶玩具业成长,一些玩具跨国公司也接踵于这些国度设立新的产物加工场。
于如许的环境下,将来中国玩具企业的海外定单无疑将会遭到愈来愈年夜的同业竞争;于海内,三年疫情时期,玩具特别是潮玩产物相对于较好的发卖行情,令不少人争相插手到玩具财产中来,有资料显示,去年谋划营业与玩具备关的注册企业,天下新增超百万家。
事实上,同业竞争的加年夜,已经令一些产物如童车售价连续走低。
不外,有危就有机,2024年我国玩具财产成长也存于不少利好。
▐ 利好一:市场需求有好起来的迹象。
去年11月中美带领人旧金山接见会面后,西方国度商业“去中国化”的呐喊有所减缓,这有益我国玩具加工企业争夺到更多的海外定单。
直不雅征象是,第134届秋季广交会累计有来自216个国度及地域的境外采购商超19万人到会,同比增加超50%,参展企业反应说,这届秋交会不仅客商不雅展人数上升,并且下单也较为爽性。
别的,颠末2023年产物去库存,泰西玩具跨国公司2024年的定单有望恢复正常,因为跨国公司对于产物质量要求较高,今朝不少定单往往只能依赖中国企业出产。
▐ 利好二:玩具消费群体有继承扩展的趋势。
只管疫情防控政策已经优化,但疫情断绝办法引发的kidult(年夜童)玩具消费仍于增加,早于2022年,全世界玩具消费四分之一以上的金额已经是由年夜童们孝敬,进入2023年如许的趋势涓滴没削弱,且有进一步扩散的迹象。
有信息说,去年泰西圣诞节有“跨越一半的成年人规划于这个假期给本身买玩具”。
美国玩具协会的调研也有近似的成果:“咱们发明,成年人不仅会为本身购物,并且20%的人还有会为他们年迈的怙恃及其他年迈的亲戚采办玩具。”
于海内,盲盒玩具、棉花娃娃等潮玩产物,也已经乐成扩大到青年消费者,去年仅棉花娃娃便有跨越十亿元的市场范围。
“玩具,有望变为成年人的喜好消费”,是外洋媒体对于该征象的归纳综合。

潮玩不停向青年消费群体渗入
财产高质量成长时不再来概而言之,只管本年市场谋划情况有望好起来,但怎样于同业竞争日益激烈、市场供年夜在求情况下保存成长,是企业不能不面临的事。
中心政治局集会部署本年事情时夸大:要“周全贯彻新成长理念,加速构建新成长格式,出力鞭策高质量成长”。对于玩具行业来讲堪称对症下药,由于,中国玩具财产成长的模式,可能正被东南亚等地模拟复制,我国玩具制造业将来将面临更多同业竞争。
以是,增强技能革新,踊跃研发立异产物,尽快从玩具出产年夜国向玩具制造强国进级,是摆于企业眼前很是紧逼的事情。
来历:《中外玩具制造》杂志作者:广东省玩具协会资深行业阐发员 梁汉坤 哀求信息 : 2025-10-03 00:13:39 HTTP/1.1 GET : https://cn.chinatoyfair.com/news/255.html运行时间 : 0.430912s [ 吞吐率:2.32req/s ] 内存耗损:2,045.66kb 文件加载:192查询信息 : 75 queries缓存信息 : 0 reads,1 writes会话信息 : SESSION_ID=7f7c10334b9a5c229535cfb6678db2e1 /usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/public/index.php ( 0.97 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/autoload.php ( 0.42 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/composer/autoload_real.php ( 1.70 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/composer/platform_check.php ( 0.91 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/composer/ClassLoader.php ( 15.69 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/composer/autoload_static.php ( 224.34 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/topthink/think-helper/src/helper.php ( 7.35 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/topthink/think-orm/stubs/load_stubs.php ( 0.16 KB )/usr/home/hyu1624690001/htdocs/vendor/topthink/framework/src/think/Exception.php ( 1.69 KB 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CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.006500s ] mysql:host=hdm721885362.my3w.com;port=3306;dbname=hdm721885362_db;charset=utf8mb4SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `ta_system` [ RunTime:0.004509s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_system` ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003920s ]SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `ta_settings` [ RunTime:0.004183s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_settings` ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003841s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_system` ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003895s ]SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `ta_field` [ RunTime:0.004165s ]SELECT `type`,`field` FROM `ta_field` [ RunTime:0.003828s ]SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `ta_cate` [ RunTime:0.004210s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_name`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.003759s ]SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `ta_module` [ RunTime:0.004251s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003887s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003884s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003800s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003781s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003830s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003839s ]SELECT `module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `cate_folder` = 'news' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003807s ]SELECT `table_name` FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003705s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_field` WHERE `module_id` = 19 ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.003915s ]SELECT `id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `cate_folder` = 'news' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003797s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 21 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003838s ]SELECT `id`,`parent_id` FROM `ta_cate` [ RunTime:0.003802s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `table_name` = 'article' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003862s ]SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `ta_article` [ RunTime:0.004488s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_article` WHERE `id` = 255 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.008134s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `table_name` = 'article' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003885s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_field` WHERE `module_id` = 19 ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` ASC [ RunTime:0.003897s ]SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `ta_dictionary` [ RunTime:0.004325s ]SELECT `dict_value`,`dict_label` FROM `ta_dictionary` WHERE `dict_type` = '14' ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` DESC [ RunTime:0.003779s ]SELECT `dict_value`,`dict_label` FROM `ta_dictionary` WHERE `dict_type` = '15' ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` DESC [ RunTime:0.003791s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `model_name` = 'Cate' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003873s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_field` WHERE `module_id` = 20 AND `field` = 'sort' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003875s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `model_name` = 'Cate' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003846s ]SELECT `id` FROM `ta_module` WHERE `model_name` = 'Cate' LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003783s ]SELECT `field` FROM `ta_field` WHERE ( field = 'pid' OR field = 'parent_id' ) AND `module_id` = 20 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003801s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_name`,`parent_id` FROM `ta_cate` ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` DESC [ RunTime:0.003799s 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1 [ RunTime:0.003803s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `is_menu` = 1 ORDER BY `sort` ASC,`id` DESC [ RunTime:0.004012s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_module` WHERE `id` = 19 [ RunTime:0.003859s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_id`,`url`,title as cate_name FROM `ta_article` WHERE `status` = 1 AND `site` IN ('0','1') AND `cate_id` = 17 ORDER BY `sort` DESC [ RunTime:0.004468s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003808s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003795s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003815s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003785s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003808s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003812s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003868s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 17 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003812s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_id`,`url`,title as cate_name FROM `ta_article` WHERE `status` = 1 AND `site` IN ('0','1') AND `cate_id` = 18 ORDER BY `sort` DESC [ RunTime:0.004496s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 18 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003785s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 18 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003801s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 18 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003780s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 18 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003771s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 18 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003801s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 18 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003715s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 18 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003800s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_id`,`url`,title as cate_name FROM `ta_article` WHERE `status` = 1 AND `site` IN ('0','1') AND `cate_id` = 19 ORDER BY `sort` DESC [ RunTime:0.004389s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003755s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003754s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 19 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003803s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_id`,`url`,title as cate_name FROM `ta_article` WHERE `status` = 1 AND `site` IN ('0','1') AND `cate_id` = 20 ORDER BY `sort` DESC [ RunTime:0.004357s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 20 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003812s ]SELECT `id`,`cate_folder`,`module_id` FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 20 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003779s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 21 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003844s ]SELECT * FROM `ta_cate` WHERE `id` = 21 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003909s ]-必一运动官网



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